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greenecounty

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Everything posted by greenecounty

  1. what part of greene cty are you in?
  2. the cure is the 10+ years of the 2 stage deleveraging process (1st phase is consumer and private sector paying off their over leveraged personal balance sheets - 2nd phase is govts (laughable)). people get really pissed after not realizing 40 years of debt induced growth needs to be cyclically wound down and it will not happen immediately. QE and stimulus helps people feel better in the typical "this needs to happen now" but all it really does is hide the data that we are in a deleveraging depression period
  3. I have directv in the country and have only lost a signal once (when there was literally a black cloud thunderstorm the size of madagascar over our head) cheaper than cable with sports package
  4. 1 buck - 4R how the F do people get 5-6 deer in one area? i understand the meat hunting argument but were not trying to feed the afghani army here
  5. this is just getting annoying - the regions that the proposed AR for next year need it because of the number of hunters taking young bucks and does. Now im sorry that the catskills do not have the agri to support the huge bucks that are out in the western part of the state (i will take it up with the glaciers that formed the region in the last ice age). the catskills need this to promote a healthier herd - most notably due to hunters from the city/long island that "need" to kill a deer during the season. Aside from the "nice 6s" ive seen on my trail cameras at 1am I have not seen a single basket during bow or gun season in two years - best ive seen was a spike. If we give it 2+ years we will maybe be able to see at least SOME improvement.
  6. Brother got a basket 3 yesterday . It was the only deer we saw. Really slow and only hearing a couple of shots this morn
  7. disclaimer - i have experience in these securities and for employment reasons i can only explain what they did at a 10,000ft view (hint): the final sentence of that link explains it so simply and of course they had to throw in the "not taking care of "main street"" line. the programs were instituted to lower rates across the board for all fixed investments - which back the securities that i deal with every day. without intervention and implementing talf (for example) --> nobody was buying any security that was backed or dealt with consumer credit or mortgage credit (Consumer Credit Card/Auto/Equipment/HomeEquity/1st and 2nd Lein Mortgage). By creating a short term liquidity facility where the fed would repo these securities within the broad market looking for investors - some sort of confidence was brought back into the market. In a market of supply in demand - if there were no buyers of bonds backed by your mortgage or CC payments - the bank you got the loan from would actually give you a higher rate - because they would have to hold for investment and not be able to sell into the market. With no buyers of these securities - rates go up. Instituting these programs not only instilled confidence in the overall payment structure in the market but allowed for a great amount of refinancing at lower rates saving you and i money. Now the ron paulites will say thats direct interference but go try and tell that to the people who were on the bubble of going delinquent due to adjustable rate mtges or variable rate cc/auto loans. it definitely helped them. I understand the rabble about the maiden lane portfolios where there are very complex structured products. to be honest - you cannot explain this to governmental people whatsoever. when govt is involved in business - its not experience or knowledge that matters - its politics. trying to explain payment structures and risk to a group of congressmen is just a waste of time. almost like trying to explain astrophysics to a group of 6th graders...but the 6th graders actually have some sort of power to determine how we develop an antimatter engine...for some reason
  8. history of the past programs: http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/funding_archive/index.html the normal sec lending programs are here: http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/openmarket.html
  9. this was in the emergency liquidity repo trading facilities (pdcf/tslf/taf) where nobody was lending to eachother - essentially jpmorgan needed overnight funding for 1bn dollars in treasuries or cash - they then provide the fed with 1.1-1.25bn in highly safe securities so the fed can make a loan of 1bn and has enough collateral cushion for overnight price movement. Imagine doing this for 8-12 months day in and day out because repo trading between global firms is nonexistant because they didnt know if they guys they wouldve lent to would be around the next day to pay them back due to the heavy market movements at the time. not only have they not lost a single dollar in any transaction, but they also made 72bn dollars last year. and the fed arent your definition of "banker" - they use about .00001% of that to pay for electricity and salary and send the rest of that 72bn to the us treasury. and then we watch the government play around with it and spend it in about 5 hours. (kinda like lending a dollar to joe but joe gives you 1.25 in something else - if he fails you get the 1.25. doing that daily makes volume really seem to be more than it is.)
  10. protests outside of my building...every day...for months... step 1) summarize biased self tought economic theory from reading the internet step 2) scream at everyone walking into work step 3) live in an area and take rotting dumps upwind from where i live
  11. there are a ton of bear where i hunt - this is why i drive the atv out 30 minutes before sun up and get situated
  12. got about >15 inches in 4r - but im in a higher elevation - and it started melting down by noon yesterday
  13. so how is the weather so far? im in 4r and the weather websites are giving a range of 3-5 inches (wont believe it till i see it) what about you guys?
  14. you are right - alot of spikes and weird looking antlers - we have only taken a couple of 5 - 8 pointers in the past 8 or so years. where in 4R are you?
  15. looks like you picked a smart tree to hang a feeder from
  16. greene county got clobbered - windham and hunter were completely flooded out
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