
phade
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Everything posted by phade
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I'm sure its a mixed bag overall, but I run into a few former members from time to time and on a positive note they're all doing pretty well and have taken some crazy nice deer. Many of them just got less public about their hunting interactions and/or had growing jobs and families. I'm trying to recall, but of three former members that I usually converse with 2-3x a year, I believe there are at least five 165"+ deer taken by them since they left (none of them hunt with one another). Two over 180. Some other members just moved more toward FB and other social media. One former member is tracking a really nice NY buck and has his sheds from this season already and he bought some cells to help along the way. I hope he gets him. Overall, it looks like alot of good deer taken by the teams this year. No losers.
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dbl post
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You just proved my point to a degree, I think....as Moog noted Sam is in NE Iowa killing midwest bucks in ag and creekbottom/rolling bluffs. A good hunter is a good hunter and will find a way to be successful in whatever environment he or she is in. Just because he is in Iowa now and killed a 190-200"er does that mean he is less of a hunter than the one in the 'Dacks? I think not, but if he didn't have the 'Dacks history (He lived in the Finger Lakes and killed plenty there), would he be viewed as just another midwest hunter who kills a booner in a state where booners are behind every tree? You'd (speaking in general You) probably downplay that kill or the kills he has had since moving to the farm. In both cases he was killing top-end bucks for the area. I just can't bring myself to stack rank a hunter unless it's apples to apples, and that's almost impossible to do. Loosely killing the bigger bucks for the area is the only measurement for me, and that's even a stretch, but that's about all I could come up with. If someone killed a top 10%er, and does it routinely, then they're a good hunter IMO. Not any better or worse than the one who does the same in a different environment. Its in our DNA to try to position, but I can't bring myself to say someone taking a good buck in an environment that I just don't jive with is a lesser hunter than one in an environment I prefer.
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I believe we're dialing a March trip up to head midwest for scouting/shed hunting and securing up some added access. Awful drive times...15 hours and change each way. Thought about flying for this trip but COVID/pandemic makes it much less attractive. We might bring some stands out to set up and get ourselves a head start for the fall.
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The time has come...
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That's the thing though, I don't think the deer are tame or easier to a degree; a deer can usually pick out a threat when it becomes one, let alone a mature buck. No different than driving by on the ATV and having a deer watch from the cornfield/woodlot edge with no care in the world. Step one foot inside that lot and the thing comes out of its skin. Terrain and what not aside, in the Adirondacks, it's you and the deer. In the urban, its you, the deer, the mailman, the kids, the joggers, the dog, etc. that can disrupt the hunt at any time and often at the worst time. I think in the end, most of this stuff comes up as a wash. A good hunter is a good hunter, they'll leverage their skill to get results, even in the unfamiliar. If you take top 10-20% bucks for the urban, or ag, or Adirondacks, you're a good hunter to me and I view them as the same. I'm not going to say one is better than the other or try to rationalize some stack ranking.
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Enjoying vs. skill or style complexity are two different facets IMO. I certainly have preferences as to what I enjoy too. But its easy for people to lob statements that X atmosphere is harder or easier; I'm guilty of it from time to time too, but I try to catch myself. I try not to knock hunters who have put themselves in a position to be routinely successful at reaching their goals and achieve it. Me saying urban hunting is easy or that they're not a "real" hunter is more a reflection and problem with me than that urban hunter. Just because I don't like it doesn't mean I need to downplay those who are successful in that setting. Just for me, personally.
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Tillray got up to 250 before they crashed last time. I'm not basing this on anything but I'd be looking at a 4x multiple from where they were when this run started. APHA was around 12-15 for a while, so that would put it in the 48-60 range IMO, and feel safe. Any higher and I'd get nervous personally. OGI has treated me well. SNDL was undervalued for a long while because they got dinged for poor quality on one harvest that made news within the industry I guess. It was an isolated but widereaching issue.
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I view urban hunting no different than a type of landscape, ag, big woods, midwest creek bottoms, etc. I'm not of the mindset to knock other hunters for being successful. JMO. Leverage skills to do what you need to do. I'm sure we all see the peaks and not so many valleys that make it difficult regardless of hunting environment.
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I closed out some calls at 400 and 500% since Monday with SNDL and OGI. Moving and shaking. Wish I bought more!!! First time I ever went into options. 3 for 3. I know I won't be that lucky going forward. Small caps seem to be the larger area of growth as of late.
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How much is a newer 336W worth? Probably 25-50 rounds through it? Had one range session with it and been in the safe since. It's a Remington Marlin...maybe five years old. I know the earlier ones are worth $$$.
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ZOM up almost 160% in the past week now. In at $0.94 and already debating whether I should take the gains at the $2.80 it is now. Hunting partner got in at $0.27 a month prior. This has been quite a month of run-up. Alot of green. Probably won't happen like that for a long time again.
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I have a 336W and a 464 with the stainless/laminate. I love lever guns in premise and plinking, but I for some reason just cannot say I enjoy hunting with them. And that 464 has the same feature with the lever needing to be squeezed before firing a round...have to admit like Don_C that it comes off funky. I don't have that problem with the 336W. I'm debating getting rid of both of them and picking another bolt action.
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Stafford's career was wasted in Detroit. I hope he does well for the Rams. I think his teammates have also historically really liked the guy too.
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Stop losses only work when the apps and the trading is manageable enough for it to actually process. That was part of the reason why I lost 30% of my gains on AMC. My stop loss wouldn't process because the price was so volatile and falling that it would fail. I had to market sell THREE times before it took and lost share price from 24.50 to 19 and change. So, my advice is don't bank on it always working. ZOM the Carole Baskin stock is on a tear this week.
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I think many people believe there will be a pullback in the market between now and end of spring with a long-term positive outlook. At least that is what the talking heads say. I'll buy the dip as they say nowadays. Low interest rates, low corporate tax rates, lagging inflation allows for growth; it's high octane gas for the race car if you will. Many companies are releasing RECORD profits in periods where inflation is lagging YOY in a pandemic. Stimulus money aside, it's chump change big picture. People still going to Best Buy to get TVs, and there is a hell of a pent up demand for travel. Wait til this thing ends and watch how expensive it'll be to go to Disney or the Bahamas due to supply and demand. And, all of this is happening as consumers are lowering revolving debt including HELOCs; and it's moving to things like home loans. People are taking advantage of locking in low interest rates on their homes. Heck since the pandemic hit we were at peak revolving debt in march 2020, and that's down 20% in less than a year. People are still spending but also taking their reduced operating costs to get out of debt (IE saving on going out to eat, gas money as they are WFH, etc.).
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Yep - they are a very old company (by solar terms). Well established profitability already, with increases in gross and net revenue YOY past three years (I didn't go further back). Market is hot, and they're growing in a market that is growing. I'll ride that one for a while.
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I really like SHLS. They have a long history of success and growth. Demand in the market growing. I'm guess we will see 45-55 per share by summer if their first few quarterly releases go well. I am in 33 cost avg.
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I got in on SHLS for a longer hold. IPO'd last week. I'll ride that. Also in APHA for the MJ play. Most of my dividend focus is on REITs; AGNC being one.
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I watched that show alot when I was younger. Some time ago, I saw him do his stand-up routine and he went into his history around people's perception of him. Whether it was part of the stand-up or truth but he was super bitter about it and just reinforced that perception. I think he may have calmed down after the stabby stabby event, but in either case, life swings fast.
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You raise a good point. My wife and mother were able to get their first shots on short notice due to openings. The good news about a few of the vaccines is I understand they are more easily adaptable to updates for the variants. I'll admit to having chugged along for the past year (almost) with this and just enduring like others, but I am ready to see some light at the end of the tunnel. I'm ready to go travel and hit an island for a week or two.
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I do think I'm going to bail on RH though; at least not add any additional funds for short-term investments. Going to transition to Fidelity and WeBull. Their lack of capital to handle business operations is too much of an issue for me. I noted before that I lost about 30% of one particular stock gain because they couldn't process a transaction, and now the limits on stocks is pretty harsh. I already have Fidelity for other accounts so opening a brokerage account should be pretty easy. WeBull allows for pre/post-market trading. What I am finding interesting is if you scan social media and get in after market hours, often you can not chase nearly as much for short-term opportunities, like Silver. Sounds crazy to think like that with your money, but you can just SEE where people's money is going in the short term and use that as a marker; with RH and others that don't allow that type of trading until market open, you can get a jump on it. Much more volatile, but when it's consistent (IE Silver, NAKD, AMC, etc.) it's been a winner each time for a swing trade. RH will probably continue to be my DRIP account for the time being.
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Silver is up due to the same premise on shorting. Pretty crazy.