Jump to content

Student Loan Debt Curbs Housing Market by $83 Billion, Study Says


AaronBlaine
 Share

Recommended Posts

RISMEDIA, Wednesday, September 24, 2014— (MCT)—There’s been lots of debate lately in housing circles about the impact of student debt on home ownership.

Now there’s a new study out that attempts to put a number on that impact: 414,000.

That’s how many home sales will not happen this year because of high levels of student loan debt, according to a report from John Burns Consulting, an Irvine, Calif.-based firm that advises home builders. That’s equal to about 8 percent of all home sales, and enough to dent the housing industry by $83 billion a year.

The report estimates that the number of households under age 40 that owe $250 or more each month in student loans has nearly tripled since 2005, to 5.9 million. And it projects that every $250 in monthly student loan payments decreases home borrowing and purchasing power by $44,000. Figure a typical sale price of $200,000, throw all that together, and you get $83 billion in lost sales.

“We actually think it’s pretty conservative,” says Rick Palacios, director of research at John Burns Consulting. “We’re only looking at people age 20 to 40. We know there’s a big chunk of households over age 40 who have student debt, too.”

The report is the latest in a growing pile of research that links rising student debt levels — overall student loan debt has nearly tripled since 2005 to $1.1 trillion — with sluggish home sales, especially among young adults.

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York has found that young people with student debt are now less likely to hold a mortgage (and own a house) than people who never attended college, a reversal from long-held trends that link higher education with higher earnings and home ownership. Trade groups such as the National Association of Realtors have pointed to student debt as a key factor in the lower-than-normal rates of first-time home buyers. And it has become a growing concern for builders, which is why Palacios decided to try to put a number on it.

Other studies have suggested the effect of student loans on housing may be overblown. A report by the Brookings Institute in May points out that most people who carry student debt have relatively modest monthly payments. And while the Burns report notes that 35 percent of young adults now have monthly payments topping $250, that means 65 percent have payments of less than that.

There are two things nearly everyone agrees on: Student debt keeps growing. And as it does, its effect on the housing market will need more study.

“We’re hoping to look more into it,” Palacios says. “It’s scary how much debt there is out there.”

©2014 Los Angeles Times
Distributed by MCT Information Services

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Not necessarily. ....students who graduated when the economy was down will take 30 years to recover from it...education shouldn't be free but they shouldn't be allowed to profit from it either that's bullshit....i mean 23% interest on a loan that was meant to better family's and this country that's BS. My loans stop me from owning anything and yes the got should help kids with their education bc without education our country WILL FALL. That's all I have to say in this thread....

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Sorry, but a college education is not something that should be guaranteed for everyone. You already get a high school education on the tax payers dime. You want to get a better job than that will get you? Work for it, aka pay your own way.

 

What the hell is with this entitlement mentality now days? What happened to EARNING things and being proud of it?

 

Sorry if that offends you, but if the shoe fits...

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I have to ask? Did something happen other than the economy...where ppl having kids, as we did, stopped putting funds away for their education immediately after they were born? When deciding to have kids that and life insurance was the first thing that was considered. Everyone back then tried to do that, at least ppl we knew. Now granted with buying a home and raising them we did not save as much as we planned..but our daughter went private 6 years and only had 30 thou of debt...her tuition a year was 35-37thou a year back then. Our son worked and his job covered his tuition every semester...So he ended up owning his home at the age of 21... But then again we didn't have the toys and vacations and well many "extras" until they where out of the house...They aren't having kids and are enjoying the toys and "extras " at a younger age than we are...Choices

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I have earned everything I have and have a great job....my parents were not well off did not go to college till their 40s and did not have the money to set aside...i went to a any school got a half a education that did nothing for getting a job bc all employers want "work experience" so that piece of paper is damn near useless. ...once you get behind ur screwed...but damn if people don't max out their cards buy to expensive houses and toys....then one day they go to the bank and poof it all goes away.....but instead college educated kids who got behind on their 50k plus loans will never crawl outta the hole the economy and got put them in with their interest rates making it so you never gain ground....they will have to take it from me before I pay them....and when they do I'll quit work under the table and live off the grid....kids get the shaft now....it was drasticly different 15 years and more ago.....

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The biggest problem here is that society is pushing college education for everyone.  For some people, college is not the best option.  They may be better suited for the skilled trades, unskilled labor, the military, etc.  But we tell everyone that college is a must, we make it very easy for someone who is 18 (a point in our lives when our long-term decision making is less than fully developed) to take on six figure loans, and we lower entry requirements to make it easier for the less than qualified to be accepted.  Now we have a market that is flooded with four year degrees in often meaningless fields.  All of these job-seekers have huge debt and no job prospects.  Then on top of it, if your loans are through the federal government, there's no chance to refinance should rates decrease.  It should be noted for the "everything is entitlement" crowd that I'm not talking about forgiveness, I'm talking about the possibility of refinancing to a lower interest rate like every other loan you will ever take in your life.  

 

This is all coming from someone who has a bachelor's and will have a law degree in May, both from public schools.  I don't blame anyone else for my debt, and I'm doing very well objectively.  But, I wish someone when I was 18 had told me there were other ways to approach the future besides college.  It's an awful return on investment for anything other than STEM majors.  

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I agree that a college education should not be a guaranteed right and that it should not necessarily be funded or subsidized by the government.  But, my wife is from Ireland and I think they have an interesting system.  Tuition is free, but entrance is by no means guaranteed.  Only the best students get in and their system prepares them for the professional workforce very well.  Those students works their asses off in high school and preparation for pre-college exams.  Their scores on those exams determine if they get into college, which school they qualify for, and what programs they can study- no 'undecided/liberal arts' majors.  There are some fees, but tuition is essentially free.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I went to college for skilled trades welding and machining bc all the local places wanted more than boxes took out over 50k and it wasn't worth it...even skilled trades need college now witch is a issue all on its own.....student loans should be interest free no question why do they need to make money on kids trying to better them self and the community that's crazy...i don't believe it should be free....but it shouldn't be profitable for the banks or govt either. Should be seen as a economy and country builder and believing in our next generation.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

@ virgil, But they have to work their asses off for it. I could agree with that type of a system if handled properly.

 

The hand out government here would screw the pooch on it though. Look at the housing crash, it was caused by the government regulated banks fudging numbers, etc and handing out bad loans based on the theory that every american deserved to own a home. The same thing is happening with the student loan industry. Mark my words.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I went to college for skilled trades welding and machining bc all the local places wanted more than boxes took out over 50k and it wasn't worth it...even skilled trades need college now witch is a issue all on its own.....student loans should be interest free no question why do they need to make money on kids trying to better them self and the community that's crazy...i don't believe it should be free....but it shouldn't be profitable for the banks or govt either. Should be seen as a economy and country builder and believing in our next generation.

 

Banks are businesses, why shouldnt they make money on loaning money to people? Are you serious?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Banks are businesses, why shouldnt they make money on loaning money to people? Are you serious?

Yes education shouldn't be for profit....think about it I didn't buy a toy to play with. ..i went to school to learn how to build. Witch helps the industry and economy and country why should I have to pay interest I already pay crazy high taxes in my job....
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Grow, I'm not trying to imply that Ireland has it all figured out.  They have massive problems with unemployment and welfare dependence, especially since their economy tanked in recent years.  However, the Irish place a high value on education- the government supports it, but makes sure that their money is not being wasted.  Unfortunately for them, so many of their new graduates are leaving the country because the economy in Ireland is so bad, and their graduates are in high demand around the world- specifically because they are known to produce top quality graduates.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yes education shouldn't be for profit....think about it I didn't buy a toy to play with. ..i went to school to learn how to build. Witch helps the industry and economy and country why should I have to pay interest I already pay crazy high taxes in my job....

 

So what? I pay plenty of interest on everything I take a loan for. Its part of the deal. Dont want to pay interest on your education costs, save enough to pay for it yourself, or work you tail off and get a scholarship or two. Taxes dont go to the banks that provide the service. Government backed loans are coming from a bank, not the US treasury.

 

Again, banks are a business, want their services, pay for them.

 

BTW, you get a good job to earn enough money to pay for your toys. You dont need a $200k house, or a car thats less than 10 years old, or your hunting equipment, or any of that stuff. Who are you trying to kid? I could survive on a much lower paying job than I have now, but I work my ass off to make life better for my kids and myself, and alot of that has to do with luxury items.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Govt. tell many other industries what they can charge for their services. Medical comes to mind. I think that industry is a  run away train.

 

I agree on the no interest loans for college but it should only be for specified majors. A 4 year degree in Australian Aboriginal studies should not be considered. If the colleges want to offer it, fine. IF a student wants to take it, fine. There should be no aid, no interest loans for it.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Govt. tell many other industries what they can charge for their services. Medical comes to mind. I think that industry is a  run away train.

 

I agree on the no interest loans for college but it should only be for specified majors. A 4 year degree in Australian Aboriginal studies should not be considered. If the colleges want to offer it, fine. IF a student wants to take it, fine. There should be no aid, no interest loans for it.

 

I think if you take that idea, and mesh it with what virgil said Ireland does, then Id say winner winner chicken dinner.

 

No interest for a guy in a welding class? Nope.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I land contracted my house for half what it's worth I own 3 guns drive a pos. My wife has a nice car she's had before we got married...she's a stay at home mom and I pay all my bills by myslef...i live in my means have no credit and don't want any...i have a few bikes I buy cheap and fix and sell as extra income...i work 60+ a week and still am in more debt than I should be...all bc it took me 5 years to get a good job...and the interest and defaulting didn't stop when that happened....would be different if it happened to you I promise....it's bs the whole system is.....and you pay interest on the stuff you buy yes I think it should be...but if student loans don't go away then why should you be able to claim bankruptcy on your car house cards toys...u chose to buy them but yet can make them go away....BS

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I land contracted my house for half what it's worth I own 3 guns drive a pos. My wife has a nice car she's had before we got married...she's a stay at home mom and I pay all my bills by myslef...i live in my means have no credit and don't want any...i have a few bikes I buy cheap and fix and sell as extra income...i work 60+ a week and still am in more debt than I should be...all bc it took me 5 years to get a good job...and the interest and defaulting didn't stop when that happened....would be different if it happened to you I promise....it's bs the whole system is.....and you pay interest on the stuff you buy yes I think it should be...but if student loans don't go away then why should you be able to claim bankruptcy on your car house cards toys...u chose to buy them but yet can make them go away....BS

 

I never stepped foot in college my man. Youre barking up the wrong tree. I made my way from the bottom to where I am now with nothing but hard work and determination. Nobody has handed me a thing. I have struggled, and still continue to sometimes. I dont make any excuses though, my life has happened the way it has because I made the choices I did. I have never defaulted on any type of loan, Ive borrowed form Peter to pay Paul before to get me past a rough patch, but I always paid my debts, and I knew exactly what the deal was when I committed to them.

 

Do you know how bankruptcy works? That follows you for a long time, its not a free "get out from under your debit" card.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

 Share

  • Similar Content

    • By AaronBlaine
      quick question I was interested in some feedback from my fellow United States Marines.  My question to you regards the use of our jungle cammies for hunting?  I know that Marines are not supposed to wear our cammies off base however the digi pattern works perfectly for early season bow hunting.  I cut my name tags and removed all signs of rank however I am more interested in the moral ethics behind wearing them.  Does anyone have a problem with it?  Might sound a little overkill that I am bringing this up however I was curious to see how other MARINES felt about it.  Do you ever break em out to head out on a hunt?  Just curious thanks guys and gals.
    • By AaronBlaine
      RISMEDIA, Monday, September 29, 2014— Nearly two out of three applications for mortgages to buy a home were approved in August, a new high for purchase loan approvals.

      The closing rate is a new high for Ellie Mae’s monthly Origination Insights reports, which began in late 2011. Since November 2011, the purchase loan average closing rate has risen 9.9 percent. However, refi closing rates have risen further, making the combine closing rate increase for both loan types 14 percent, according to Ellie Mae, the mortgage software program that processes about 3.5 million mortgages a year.

      In August, the closing rate for purchase loans was 65.1 percent, or about two out of every three applications. Two years ago the rate was 61.0 percent. Only 27 percent of those who got mortgages to buy houses were first-time buyers. First-timers, vital players in the housing economy, are dangerously few. Younger, with lower incomes and less established credit, many saddled with student debt, first-timers have lost 25 percent or more market share in home sales, largely because of their difficulty getting credit.

      REALTORS® report that despite the slow progress, access to credit is continuing to constrain the housing recovery. About 18 percent reported having clients who could not obtain financing in August 2014, according to the National Association of REALTORS®.

      That the vast majority of mortgage applicants applications today are not the “no doc” and “pulse loan” borrowers who existed ten years ago. Rather, a large number are pre-qualified or pre-approved by lenders who know what they are up against. They have worked hard to get their credit, debt and paperwork in order. About 50 percent of survey respondents who provided credit score information to NAR’s monthly REALTOR® Confidence Index survey reported FICO credit scores of 740 and above. Only about 2 percent of REALTORS® reported a purchase by a buyer with a credit score of less than 620.

      For more information, visit www.RealEstateEconomyWatch.com.
    • By AaronBlaine
      Hey guys I am a licensed Realtor for Coach here on long island.  If anyone has any questions related to Real Estate in NY then feel free to ask and I will do my best to answer all of your questions! 
    • By AaronBlaine
      By Robert Dietz RISMEDIA, Saturday, September 27, 2014— The August increase of the pace of new home sales pushed the months’ supply measure of inventory to its lowest level in more than a year.
      According to estimates from the Census Bureau and HUD, on a non-seasonally adjusted basis the inventory of for-sale newly built homes stood at 206,000 in August. This was a slight increase from the July estimate of 202,000.
      Of this total, 48,000 homes were completed, ready-to-occupy residences. Another 37,000 were for-sale units that had not yet begun construction. The largest component of inventory, homes under construction, came in at 121,000 in August.

      In August, the median months-for-sale time for new single-family homes fell to 3.3 months. This is higher than the 2.9 months registered a year ago.
      In terms of months’ supply (the time required for the existing inventory to be sold at the current pace of sales), the inventory of new single-family sales fell to 4.8 months (on a seasonally adjusted basis). Due to the increase in the August rate of sales, this is a notable drop from the 5.6 months’ supply reported in July and is the lowest measure of supply since June 2013.
      These numbers counter claims made last week that home builders are constructing new homes faster than they can be occupied. Single-family construction is occurring at a pace about half of the normal, sustainable rate determined by population growth and the need for replacement of older housing.
      While vacancy rates for some kinds of single-family housing remain elevated, newly built homes offer multiple benefits over older housing, including lower maintenance and upkeep costs and cost saving green and energy efficiency features. Comparing new homes with vacant, older homes, likely in need of repair/modernization or located in areas with lower levels of job creation, is comparing apples with aging bananas.
      View this original post on the NAHB blog, Eye on Housing.
    • By AaronBlaine
      RISMEDIA, Thursday, September 25, 2014— REALTORS® are showing tremendous interest and enthusiasm for new drone (Unmanned Aerial Vehicle) technologies that could help them market listings in an efficient and environmentally sensible manner. But for now, the Federal Aviation Administration does not permit the use of UAVs for commercial purposes such as the marketing of real estate.

      Recently, the National Association of REALTORS® responded to the FAA’s prohibition on the use of UAVs by calling on the agency to quickly come up with a framework for commercial use of UAV technology that addresses safety and privacy concerns, but permits a commercial UAV industry to flourish.

      The letter outlines the following points:
       

      - The potential of using UAV technology to collect images is also a game-changer for the real estate industry.

      - UAV-obtained images are a cost-effective way to get more information to the consumer. The cost is very small compared to existing methods, such as driving around a property or using a private helicopter or airplane.

      - Just like online listings and 360 degree virtual tours, UAV-obtained imagery is a further advancement of technology that puts brokers and agents in a better position to serve their clients, and the consumers in a better place to make an informed decision.

      - NAR supports regulation that is appropriate for real-world use of UAV technology; regulation that permits businesses to use UAV technology while maintaining safety in the NAS and privacy of citizens.

      - NAR looks forward to working with the FAA to support mutual education about the realities of UAV use from both the REALTOR® and FAA perspectives. NAR is excited to create materials and resources that will inform REALTORS® about safe and responsible use of UAV technology. NAR is committed to fostering an environment for safe and responsible UAV operation.
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...