This is what I found in various books for info to get started. I know rinella put out a list some place on draw likelihood, but I can't put my hands on it. Hope this helps and if I find anything more I will post. Moog's right, if this is once in a lifetime and your happiness is contingent on getting an elk, probably worth the money on an outfitter. Randy comes home without punching a tag a lot. Ironically, sometimes he seems happier when he doesn't punch a tag. Probably because he doesn't have to pack out an elk. Good luck. Sent from my Moto E (4) Plus using Tapatalk